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Market Picture:

Diversification and Growth

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Market Review

In 2023, Saudi Arabia’s economy demonstrated resilience and adaptability in the face of global shifts.

At the same year marks an important juncture as the midpoint of Saudi Arabia’s ambitious Vision 2030 journey. Today and onward Saudi Arabia’s economy is continuing undergoing a transformation, as it implements reforms to reduce oil dependence, diversify income sources, and enhance competitiveness.

Spearheaded by the Vision 2030 program, the Saudi economy is diversifying, with the hydrocarbon sector’s contribution to GDP declining from 45% in 2012 to 40% in 2022. Concurrently, the non-hydrocarbon private sector has grown, increasing its share from 38% to 41% during the same period.1 This shift is attributed to the expansion of manufacturing industries, excluding refi ning, as well as growth in retail and hospitality activities.

Market size is estimated at

SAR1.00BN

in 2023

and is expected to reach

SAR0 .0BN

By 2028

NEOM alone is expected
to contribute over

SAR0BN

to the Kingdom’s GDP

Market size is estimated at

SAR1.00BN

in 2023

and is expected to reach

SAR0.0BN

By 2028

NEOM alone is expected
to contribute over

SAR0BN

to the Kingdom’s GDP

Working with government

entities and PIF portfolio

companies is a central

element of Bank Albilad’s

strategy.

Market Review

The technology and innovation sector stands out as a pivotal driver, with investments in AI, renewable energy, and smart infrastructure.

Saudi Arabia’s Big Data And Artificial Intelligence Market size is estimated at SAR1.05bn (USD 0.28 billion) in 2023, and is expected to reach SAR6.11bn(USD 1.63 billion) by 2028, growing at a CAGR of 34.24% during the forecast period (2023-2028).2

This demonstrates the Kingdom’s focus on technology-driven advancement.In finance, fintech is a standout performer, helping to reshape the financial landscape. Saudi Arabia’s fintech adoption rate has surged.

Mobile payments, a key focus for Saudi authorities, have risen to account for 45% of point-of-sale transactions by volume and 35% by value signifying a significant shift in banking preferences.3

This provides a foundation for the continuing work of Bank Albilad to deliver innovation in financial services, meeting the growing needs of the population, particularly younger customers. It also provides a rich ecosystem of new fintech companies with which Bank Albilad will continue to develop collaborative partnerships as we move into 2024.

Real estate and construction sectors continue to thrive, buoyed by mega-projects like NEOM and Qiddiya. By 2030, NEOM alone is expected to contribute over SAR375bn ($100 billion) to the Kingdom’s GDP. Working with government entities and PIF portfolio companies is a central element of Bank Albilad’s strategy.

Efforts to upskill the local workforce are reflected in a fall in total unemployment to 4.8 percent by end-2022 - from 9 percent during Covid. Youth unemployment was halved to 16 percent in 2022 over the past two years while female participation in the labor force reached 36 percent in 2022, exceeding the 30 percent target under Vision 2030. This signals positive advances in job creation and skills development.4

Foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows in 2022 were SAR122bn ($33bn) indicating international confidence in the Saudi market and an increasingly outward-looking mindset across businesses within the Kingdom.5 The Public Investment Fund (PIF) has also become a global force, with assets under management estimated at over SAR2,250bn ($600 billion), diversifying its portfolio across various sectors and regions.

NEOM alone is expected
to contribute over

SAR375BN

to the Kingdom’s GDP

This demonstrates the kingdom’s focus on technology-driven advancement.

Working with government entities and PIF portfolio companies is a central element of Bank Albilad’s strategy.

Saudi Arabia’s GDP growth is expected to recover from 2024, after a flat performance in 2023 due to high base effect. Notwithstanding this, the government is expected to continue with its budgetary support on its various investments in the ongoing Mega and Giga projects. As the real GDP is expected to grow by 4.4% in 2024f vs 0.03% in 2023e with the nominal GDP estimated at SAR4.26trn. This will help the country diversify and bring in structural changes to its economy. Overall, Saudi will continue to remain a key performer in the region.6

Saudi Arabia’s economy in 2023 has continued to develop on a dynamic, diversified trajectory.

References

1BNP Paribas, 2023.

2Mordor Intelligence, 2023.

3CITI, 2023.

4IMF, 2023.

5UNCTAD, 2023.

6UNITED SECURITESUC.

This has been underpinned by technology, innovation, and an increasing awareness of the importance of sustainable development and environmental protection.

Supported by Vision 2030’s strategic imperatives, the Kingdom continues to be an enormously significant force within the global economy.

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This is the context that will support Bank Albilad’s continuing growth ambitions.

Total unemployment decreased to

0.0%

Youth unemployment was decreased to

0%

female participation in the labor force reached

0%

a fall in total unemployment to

0.0%

Youth unemployment was halved to

0%

female participation in the labor force reached

0%

Supported by vision 2030’s

strategic imperatives, the

kingdom continues to be an

enormously significant force

within the global economy.